The most popular forms of solar heating seem uneconomical these days, with high costs and low
solar fractions (20% for some FSEC-certifi ed water heaters), so they seem to require customers
who are concerned about climate change, among other things. If solar house heating were to
simply cost less than other forms of house heating, more people might use it.
After hearing lots of doubt that low-cost solar house heating can work with a high solar fraction
outside the Southwest from local architects, reporters, and others who read SBIC guidelines
which say houses in Philadelphia can only be 60% solar-heated at best and seeing lots of “solar
houses” that are only 30–50% solar-heated versus those “with no other form of heat,” we
should dispatch Deployable Doubt Dispellers (“D-cubes”) to regional Infestations of Doubt,
unboltable 8′ cubes with little windows so people can peer in to see big dial thermometers
inside that stay at 70ºF for a few cold, cloudy days.
Lots of people (eg., AIA, SBIC, and SBSE) seem to have forgotten that things like this can be
engineered, notwithstanding high-school physics and houses by PE Norman Saunders, who
calculates needs for “purchased heat” with Gaussian weather stats in the same way that other
engineers calculate 100-year fl oods: The 1954 ASHRAE Handbook gives the 1% and 2½% temperatures for Boston as 0º and 8ºF (–17.8º and –13.4ºC). For –15ºC, the holding time for our
houses is 3 days, giving a standard deviation of 7.8ºC. In December, the 1% temperature is 2.1
standard deviations lower than average, so can be expected to occur about once every 4.5 years.
This calculation suggests the need to purchase heat [or wear a sweater –Nick] in December
once in 35 years.
We might deploy D-cubes to Rifton, Port Jervis, and Harlem, NY; Kempton, Philadelphia, Pottstown,
and Bryn Mawr, PA; at a wintertime MREF or ASES conference; a DOE Solar Decathlon;
the Chicago Museum of Science and Industry; and lots of YMCAs and high schools.
ORIGINAL HERE (PDF)